33/1 Broughton’s Admiral A Value Bet

3.00 Sandown

Broughton’s Admiral joined the canny Richard Newland on November 19th after running consistently and fairly well for Alastair Ralph. On November 27th he was sent off a 5/1 chance in his first run for the new yard, where he fell two out. Next time he went to Exeter where, under a fine ride from Sam Twiston-Davies he hacked up by 12 lengths, surpassing his best Racing Post Rating by 9lbs.

The ground was heavy that day and Broughton’s Admiral was taken right round the outside in search of better ground. It’s hard to say if that was the deciding factor. Doubtless it contributed, but it also meant that he ran a fair bit farther than his rivals. He won in the style of a much improved horse and even though that was a class 4 (it’s class 1 on Saturday) he had run well in a class 2 at Cheltenham when 2nd to Tobefair.

Sam Twiston-Davies takes the ride again despite one of his father’s, Equifier, being in the race at half the odds of Broughton’s Admiral. I think he is well worth taking a chance with at 33/1, with Skybet and a few others offering 5 places EW.


3.15 Musselburgh

Next up is an old friend of the blog’s. Well, a friend in that he keeps turning up as a tip because I’ve always been convinced there’s a decent race in him. I can mount no other defence of the selection’s chance here than I have in the past. Arguably it amounts to blind faith but I recommend once more that you back him in the 3.15 at Musselburgh at the 9/1 generally on offer. He should benefit from much better ground than he’s faced recently.


Finally, an improver that I was much taken with when I saw him win his last race – Full Of Surprises in the 1.03 at Wetherby. At 13/8 he’s not much of a price but I think he’ll win.

Summary

1.03 Wetherby: Full Of Surprises: 13/8: Win Only: 3 star bet

3.00 Sandown: Broughton’s Admiral: 33/1: EW 5 places. 1 star bet

3.15 Musselburgh: Arthur’s Gift: 9/1: Win Only: 1 star bet

EW double: Arthur’s Gift 8/1 and Broughton’s Admiral 33/1 (5 places) Skybet.

Good luck. Most tipsters are unreliable and inconsistent, including me. Don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile – whatever the source of the tip.

All the best
Joe

 

 

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