Regular readers will know how much value this blog places on improving horses. Once they win, they ought to be followed until beaten. If I had to put up a classic example of spotting an improver right at the start of a winning curve it is Lord Du Mesnil. Before beginning his hat trick (Newcastle 30th November), Lord Du Mesnil was 0 from 23 runs and rated 122. He runs today off 147.
Trainer Richard Hobson puts the improvement down to confidence after Lord Du Mesnil won a comparatively small race at Newcastle. He said the gelding became a completely different character, even at home. Watching his appetite and enthusiasm in two subsequent wins (both here at Haydock) makes it difficult to argue with Hobson and strengthens the theory that horses know when they have won.
The ground and trip won’t be a problem. It’s his toughest task but I will back him today and if he wins will keep following him.
Good luck. Most tipsters are unreliable and inconsistent, including me. Don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile – whatever the source of the tip.
All the best