A typically tricky Saturday handicap the 3.35 at Kempton, where most of these will wonder what’s happening when their fetlocks aren’t buried in mud for much of the race. I’ve followed Kildisart this season but he’s been a shadow of his novice self. I had thought he might go on to compete at graded level. He gets decent ground today which ought to see him in a better light but I’m not going to risk him until I see a solid return to form.

It’s something of a ragtag race with nothing in hot form so I am betting the only one in the field who won last time out – Just A Sting. Trainer Fry’s yard is in fair shape with a 21% strike rate in the last fortnight. Just A Sting’s gutsy victory last time was at Kempton and he won in the manner of an improving horse. The key to that improvement might be the cheekpieces he wore for the first time when he ran a solid race on his seasonal debut at Wincanton (5 of his 7 steeplechases have been right handed).

Just A Sting is relatively unexposed as a chaser and has a good success rate – 3 from 7 – in this discipline. Jockey Sean Bowen rode him to victory last time (his first ride on the horse) and is in the saddle again today.

Summary:

Kempton  3.35  Just A Sting  EW with Betfair who go 15/2 and pay the first 5

Good luck. Most tipsters are unreliable and inconsistent, including me. Don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile – whatever the source of the tip.

All the best
Joe