Corach Rambler & Hill Sixteen The Value Bets

I have posted here twice this year advising an ew bet for the Grand National on Hill Sixteen. The first post was in February when he was 100/1, and the second one in March when he was 66/1 on the morning of his prep run at Kelso. I had hoped he would run very well that day and his price for the National would drop. He did not. He was never going. It turned out he had lost a shoe and had not been as fit as the trainer thought he was. The upside of that is he can still be backed at 100/1 for the National EW to 6 places, or at 80/1 to 7 places with Skybet. Trainer Thomson reports him in much better shape than he was at Kelso, and has also welcomed the rain. With luck, I expect him to be in there at the finish.

The same can be said of Corach Rambler, who has been the Grand National favourite since his Cheltenham victory (for which he was tipped here at 8/1). But he has drifted in the past 24 hours and can now be backed at 10/1 EW to 6 places, and 9/1 to 7 places. He should be running with 10lbs more on his back after that Cheltenham win, but the Grand National weights had already been published and he gets to run with just 10st 5lbs.

This will be just the 13th outing of Corach Rambler’s career. He ran his best race last time and is entitled still to be improving. He has a touch of class about him, comes from a Grand National winning yard (One For Arthur) in red hot form, and is ridden by Derek Fox who rode One For Arthur. This horse is usually switched off at the back and brought with a late run. If Fox can avoid trouble, and assuming the horse stays, which I think he will, expect to see him very late on the scene as he can idle when hitting the front. He is arguably the best value in the race with this late drift.

I have backed four others EW, and will include them in the P&L figure for the blog. They are Cloudy Glen, Ain’t That A Shame, The Big Breakaway, and Mister Coffey.

Good luck all


My usual warning. Anything I put up as a tip here is for ‘fun money’ – stakes you can afford to lose almost without even thinking about it.  There’s just as much fun to be had with small stakes.

Blog tips profit for the season based on £5 unit stakes: £163

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